Description: This paper develops a formal framework to model the behavior of individual and small group health insurance policies in a competitive market. In this framework, anti-selective lapse is not assumed, but arises as a result of rational consumers seeking the best value in a competitive market where the premium rates are restricted by law. The authors obtain a model that addresses a number of fundamental questions which have not been fully answered previously, including the effect of price-induced anti-selective lapse on the mix of insureds in a block and the optimal renewal price to maximize the aggregate profit of a block.

Description: In this paper two theorems concerning the optimality of the perfect-fit and perfect-smoothness graduations are proved. Two examples are presented and some difficulties with regard to computational feasibility are reviewed. A discussion of the paper follows. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1978, Vol. 30.

Description: 1990 Valuation Actuary Symposium session is a panel discussion on yield curve projections techniques.

Description: This paper investigates how the concepts of asset-liability matching can be used to shape investment strategy. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1980, Vol. 32.

Description: This session from the 1994 Valuation Actuary Symposium covers the collapse of the real estate market in the early 1990's and the problems it created in cash flow testing and valuation work. It also covers an integrated asset/liability model and the applications beyond cash flow testing including an example for an SPDA.

Description: 1999 SOA Annual Meeting, San Francisco. This panel expanded on earlier research to examine the potential costs of long-term guarantees, transfer risk modeling techniques, and the formulation of practical strategies to manage investment accumulation products.

Description: In session 40PD of the 2004 Valuation Actuary Symposium, panelists discuss theories and assumptions underlying scenario generators, evaluating appropriateness of generated scenarios, choosing suitable economic scenario generators and use of representative scenarios.

Description: This session from the 2005 SOA New Orleans Meeting discusses issues and concerns related to asset-liability ALM modeling. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 31, No. 1.

Description: From session 76 CS at the Spring regional meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in Atlanta, Georgia, May 24-25, 1999. Presenters demonstrate the potential risks of relying blindly on our models without sensitivity testing.